Although there is no substantial growth, the 2017 new year since international oil prices remained at $55, but if the Brent crude oil futures prices, compared to 2016 rose nearly $22 a barrel at the beginning of the year. From the industry point of view, pessimism facing the 2017 oil industry obviously compared to 2016 to ease a lot.

On the one hand, OPEC members continue to be exposed to cut news;

On the other hand, the United States is increasing the number of oil shale. Although compared to last year’s low, crude oil prices actually rose a lot, but for a large company legislator who, 2017 investment expansion will still not strong. In addition, liquefied natural gas (LNG) will usher in a much wider range of excess supply is also a important variable in 2017 or.

In fact, OPEC, shale oil and LNG like three huge undercurrent, the “fighting game” a situation of tripartite confrontation will determine the price trend in 2017.

In January 17th, BP’s chief executive, to the media said that this year the company’s annual investment remained below $17 billion, compared to $6 billion less 2014. The company in 2016 and finally out of the “Gulf of Mexico” quagmire, since the end of last year in the assets invested more than 4 billion dollars.

While the national producers in this round of rebound in oil prices played a very important role, in December last year, the organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and 11 countries reached an agreement to cut output, although the implementation of this agreement is to be audited, but many countries have begun to implement, and has certain effect in the market.

For Chinese, oil and gas market ushered in a more uncertain year in 2017 will be. “Compared to 2016 2017, there will be tens of millions of tons of the refinery production.” Anxunsi Chinese research director Li Li told reporters. In addition to the new capacity, refined oil wholesale market price war.

The decision to implement the lower limit of oil production

At present, the domestic mainstream market operators have turned the crash mode of methanol, for example, Inner Mongolia fell 230-280 yuan / ton, East China fell 80-100 yuan / ton, Shandong fell 190-260 yuan / ton, down in other areas, local.

The traditional downstream not to provide enough support for the methanol market:

At present, formaldehyde, dimethyl ether, acetic acid, two MTBE started as a whole were 30%, 20%, 80%, 50%, olefin started around 70-80%, the Spring Festival approaching, the majority of traditional downstream enterprises or will from the city, methanol demand will continue to weaken, the price will continue to fall.

People familiar with the market all know, the domestic methanol plummeted almost is about to start from mid December 2016. At that time, methanol imports profit has been narrowed to a few yuan from hundreds of yuan, import enthusiasm will decline, and support domestic methanol prices.

Through the above analysis can be found, the fundamentals of methanol is entering the “market freeze” period. At the end of a traditional downstream weakening, and the slowdown in the domestic olefins started as a whole; on the other hand, haze, snow and other special weather areas contain mainland Sinotrans goods cycle longer, take the goods inside the enthusiasm is not high, how to digest inventory based.

According to the signs that, years ago, the domestic methanol market prices will continue to decline. However, years after the return, with the downstream replenishment emotional drive, commodity market or periodic callback, methanol will be rising trend.

with China’s agricultural industry development, the use of herbicides for weed control by farmers more and more.

Not long ago, the safety and environmental protection problems such as paraquat herbicide and pesticide use is restricted to zero growth policy implementation, brings many challenges and changes to the future development of herbicide.

Bring the chain reaction of paraquat delisting crisis

In recent years, China has become the world’s largest pesticide producer and exporter. Herbicide resistance problem has become a serious problem in our country must pay attention to the. Paraquat delisting, as one of the successor of glyphosate since entering January, the country entered the period of light storage.

Some experts said that the next period of time, the pesticide industry will gradually break through the existing mode of marketing and development, realize the organic integration of new industry with the traditional way, enrich the development mode of market operation.

At present, domestic enterprises in China pesticide registration up to more than 2 thousand and 100, which including 675 enterprises, more than 2 thousand enterprises in preparation; sales of 100 million yuan and below up to more than 1800, most of the enterprises the main product category is single, economic strength and anti risk ability is weak. In 2015 the domestic preparation of the top 10 sales total sales of 9 billion 74 million yuan, the total output value of domestic pesticide use market according to the estimate of 40 billion yuan, the market concentration (CR10) of only about 23%, which belongs to the excessive competition in the industry. Over the years, the industry, scattered and weak characteristics significantly.

The main export varieties of Chinese pesticide glyphosate ranked first

Although in recent years in China pesticide market recession, but there is still a considerable part of pesticide products export sales, according to the relevant departments of statistics, as of 2016 China’s top 10 pesticide export volume has been officially released.

“The oil is in the global supply and demand rebalancing process, $40 / barrel bottom has been proven, in the OPEC agreement to cut output and consumption in the demand for rigid support, the bottom oil prices in 2017 will gradually rise, but the US shale oil and oil prices rose to restart or limit. Oil prices are expected in 50 to 75 U.S. dollars / barrel interval operation.” Hengtai chemical energy futures analyst Yu Tianbing said.

What is the main logic of methanol market operation in 2017?

How to supply the story will be staged? The first important point is: to admit the supply-demand balance now measure the domestic methanol market has been gradually transformed into the national market as the center of East China market. In 2017 the methanol will also be launched around this centre, to seek a new balance between demand and supply of the main source of new.

The time difference between the 2017 domestic methanol supply and demand exists, or after the first strong weak trend, the overall price of methanol will move the center of gravity to 2600 yuan / ton, the upper limit is MTO device profit effect, the first pressure or in 3000 yuan / ton, second pressure in 3500 yuan / ton, the cost of supporting under consideration is expected in 2200 2300 yuan / ton range.

“The oil center of gravity, the cost of supporting the olefin enhanced, while the downstream products and terminal demand good performance, the industry overall inventories remain low, the continuation of the 2017 restocking market, but the continuous release of new capacity or limit or PP, see above 11000 yuan / ton, LLDPE above 12000 yuan / ton.” Yu Tianbing believes that in the crude oil driven by the increase in the overall cost of downstream chemicals. At the same time, the industry overall inventory is low, is expected to start restocking market. Specifically, all varieties of target: PTA on 7000 yuan / ton, methanol reached 3500 yuan / ton, asphalt is expected to reach 3500 yuan / ton.

Industry insiders bluntly, the most likely impact for natural rubber supply. Because of the weather factors, leading to the reduced supply of rubber. From the output data, in 2016 the vast majority of gum in yield than in 2015 dropped to a certain extent. Some countries, such as India, Malaysia, in the years of low yield.

135 yuan fertilizer bags, a lot of money on credit, cash can make 5 yuan. There is no cash prizes, credit awards, must adhere to. No rules, no Cheng Fangyuan, a matter of principle, no compromise, even if the business goes, smile to send, to cash credit are different, it is less on selling key health management. But in the short term debt commitments can make award.
(three) cash shopping in integral.
Cash, can send integral card points or in stores registered over 40 or 50 yuan to send a lucky prize card, can be specified in the market or on a date, a month or two months of uniform pumping about each lottery prize, the value of 2~3 yuan, or even higher. In short, the cash to buy goods, it is very cost-effective, won the prize, everyone in front of the face, increase the popularity of the bustling facade, but also led to the follow-up of other leisure buyers to buy.
(four) recovery of packaging bag or bottle cap.
The air bag for each pesticide used or bottle, the price of 1 yuan, cash recovery, the recovery of credit. If the profit space is large, on the basis of the recovery of the bag, still engage in integral lottery, the purpose is to use this novel to the farmers caused by the continuous satisfaction. On the three thousand, is eight hundred, profit longitudinal is small, if a large number of popular here, you will be the most successful agricultural business.
(five) seed or pesticide delivery.

For seed or fertilizer, a bag of cash can send a lucky prize card, appointment sweepstakes, printed on their store address, manager name, mobile phone number on the lucky prize card, the main agent of the brand, the similar name card. Farmers took the prize card with you at any time the telephone communication technology, will also show off to others to explain the rules and reasons, inadvertently has word-of-mouth for you. Can a group of lotteries, 500, prizes for cooking oil, electric cooker, bathtub, stainless steel pots, small shampoo are even lighter, no prize. For the one or two prize, it is best to use the camera to allow the winner to take a prize as a picture, a punch of the two, posted in the store propaganda, a reward for the winners themselves, let them go home publicity.

(six) the goods sent unsolicited, brand shop from the ring ring.
Farmers to buy, not the product itself, two is the effect of the product. Businesses want to Business Flourishes, to have a product rich effect of first-class manufacturers, then sell confidence, Xu assured, regardless of price, will earn a steady money. In order to ensure that the pesticide has two times or even three times the potency, can be two or three different drugs mixed, drug combination, compound medication, a pack, bundling, nutrition, disease prevention, insecticide penetration. Only the excellent control effect, will speak strongly, but not afraid of farmers go to competitive, not allowed to credit.

(seven) actively develop new products, and timely treatment of the old.
The competitiveness of the business, is the introduction of new formulations, new packaging and new forms of promotion. Want to go, ample funds, should be promptly dealt with the old, often finishing warehouse, really useless, but the bottle packaging container. With the old library, recovers the product worthless. The compensation to be quick to pay, early pay is less compensation.

(eight) decorating stores to make it clean.
Clean and bright, neat and orderly arrangement, giving people a sense of formal professional and reliable. Some stores, full of dirty and messy, dark and damp, dust like a thick wall, the counter products piled garbage station, the sale of the products spread all across in confusion, can not find the season products everywhere, a box of dozens of kind, lazy see fortune off the self destruct. Finishing store, classified display, for farmers what kind of demand, how to deal with, should often exercise, there is no customer knows how to sell, the competition will be impossible to talk about. To work, diligent summary, ready to “fight on” state. Get a new sign, painted shelves, Lianhaoneigong, gas sink Dantian, plant diseases and insect pests come, there will be explosive!
(nine) for pulling into net.

Business to business. For crops contiguous, large farming, vegetable area often in-depth field, study guide, everyone is the best teacher in some aspects. Each person’s attention is different, it gave birth to all kinds of talent, to communicate with each other, and jointly improve, with technology, competitiveness is strong. The number of records with the customer, often communicate to customers such as relatives and friends, to others, such as their own, try to manage the crops. For temporary credit, credit rating and should be appropriate to improve profitability, improve their ability to resist risks.
(ten) to reverse the bad habits, start from their own.

Good move from, not afraid not sell, there is a demand, there will be a sale. Must be able to endure loneliness, do not envy other people’s credit amount, manage their capital chain. All say: slow, is fast. Run fast, fall pain, run to catch up. Anxious desire daqiuduo, often backfire. We should remember the credit owed net harm to dry, resolutely and thoroughly, gradually to the warmth and hypocrisy

To accelerate global cancer research through data sharing, has become an international consensus. The first national China gene pool has been officially put into operation in September this year, the United States has enabled the anti-cancer “Moon” the first large-scale open database, the United States, Britain and Holland Research Institute also co founded the new cancer cell culture model library.

Beijing Cancer Hospital and Beijing Cancer Hospital Dean Ji Jiafu said, is the foreign cancer center and drug development enterprise cooperation, to obtain genetic data for each patient, build accurate medical database, according to the different types of genes required for clinical trials, clinical trials to target patients.

Ji Jiafu said, the focus of China’s various types of cancer research groups, and conducive to further expand the data acquisition. If you can break the top between research institutions and hospitals to participate in clinical trials of domestic barrier, more patients will eventually benefit more cancer patients.

Advanced technology + data = Chinese advantage

Experts said that the genomic mass of information, can be used to determine the causes of cancer, the development status and possible trends, and based on the gene sequence and function of the known drug design. As an important force in China’s genomics research, continue to play an important role in the international arena.

Academician of the Academy of engineering, China China Academy of Medical Sciences, Cao Xuetao said the Chinese government in recent years more and more attention of medical innovation, especially the basic science research and clinical application, believe on the frontiers of knowledge and the introduction of China’s population, can complete the corresponding clinical trials to solve medical problems faster and more.

Yan Hai said, pangen as a deep research in the field of cancer genomics and clinical transformation, is to use gene technology platform, and clinical and scientific experts together, for our cancer patients, cancer high-risk population and healthy population, genetic risk assessment of cancer molecular diagnosis and treatment scheme of reliable and professional.

Jiangsu area of small particles of mainstream 1600-1650 yuan / ton, large particles of 1680 yuan / ton, individual manufacturers are still the main for export.

Pizhou, Xuzhou wholesale 1600 yuan / ton, Yancheng station rose 1680 yuan / ton, the arrival of less.

Hubei and Hunan in urea plant under 3, the province did not arrive, light trading, Hubei individual manufacturers continue to rise to 30 yuan, the factory 1600-1620 yuan / ton, Hunan wholesale market 1650-1680 yuan / ton.

Liaoning local and surrounding the main supply, the main factory 1490-1520 yuan / ton, for agents around the factory price 1558 yuan / ton, large amount of talk.

Heilongjiang mainstream 1490-1520 yuan / ton, the contract for households, large particles in manufacturers to 1595-1635 yuan / ton, light trading market.

Market summary: at present, the domestic environmental problems remained tense, urea enterprises operating rate continues to decrease, and the upstream raw materials of coal prices and freight cost increase pressure, price rise again. To have increased the price of urea urea of domestic enterprises, is expected in the short term urea market as a whole will appear stable and slightly rising phenomenon.

at present, the domestic propanol market running smoothly.

Is the price of isopropanol in Jiangsu water in 9400-9800 yuan / ton, 100 thousand tons of new materials Nanjing Nuoao propanol unit in normal operation, this factory price 9350 yuan / ton, a single look at the amount of talks. The normal operation of Nanjing Rongxin chemical 60 thousand tons / year n-propanol device, today the factory acceptance price 9200-9300 yuan / ton, mainly for personal use, a small amount of export.

December 26th Shanghai Yifeng chemical l-propanol foreign price 11300 yuan / ton (barrels), limited inventory, real simple talks. Zhejiang sunrise Chemical Co., n-propanol foreign price 9800 yuan / ton (bottled / Taiwan), the current inventory is limited, the real single talks. Shanghai Demao chemical l-propanol foreign price 10000 yuan / ton, are not available, the real single talks. The normal operation of Nanjing Rongxin chemical 60 thousand tons / year of n-propanol device, factory acceptance today offer 9500 yuan / ton (apron), mainly for personal use, a small amount of export.

In view of the dealer price still retained, upstream of ethylene market overall trend is stable, the cost of support is relatively stable. The price is not easy to cause specific discussions or monitoring will differ, there are differences between each region, mainly discuss the real single.

This week the market trend rose DOP, the center of eastern and northern regions of higher obviously, and the Southern China region continued weak order. As of Friday, North China DOP valuation of 8600 yuan / ton. Shandong to discuss the range of 8450-8550 yuan / ton, Tianjin to discuss the range of 8500-8600 yuan / ton, or 0.1% weeks. Nearly 3 months rose to 19.33%.

Market analysis:

Dynamic device: Dongying Yimei normal operation device, output 200 tons; normal Qilu plasticizer plant, Nissan 700 tons; Tianjin Thailand Jin Yuan device production, no plan to resume normal operation; Zhejiang Weboo device; high industry device no Teruo production plan, production of DINP and DOTP following.

This week, the domestic industry chain: manufacturers offer high octanol stability, finishing the main focus of the market. Propylene trend slightly stabilized, the goods will remain cautious as octanol. This week, the domestic market price of PA downward trend, the wait-and-see atmosphere, downstream inquiry atmosphere slowed, the turnover declined all focus areas. Although fewer goods manufacturers support price of phthalic anhydride dimensional emotions, but from the downstream pressure increasing, the terminal demand has not improved substantially, factory shipments gradually obvious resistance. Octanol raw material prices continued to rise, the DOP market has strong support in the cost surface.

Industry: this week the plasticizer industry chain to better market, is expected next week, the plasticizer industry market consolidation high.

Market forecast:

In summary, the domestic DOP market this week slightly firmer, continue with very price phenomenon. Propylene refresh high octanol, across the board hike, the cost of supporting efforts continue to strengthen, manufacturers offer to continue to follow up. But the terminal demand has not improved substantially, with obvious, the manufacturers take the goods are significantly impeded, mentality pressure on the occasion, most steady to wait. Although the stock market outlook, DOP level is low, the cost of living is still high supporting role, but the demand to be released, is expected to depend on the upstream are firmed, but the actual volatility gradually slowed down, the real single atmosphere to maintain light.

“By the early morning of December 13th, the country five standard gasoline replacement upgrade has been fully completed.” December 12th, from PetroChina, Sinopec Chongqing learned that, in accordance with the relevant requirements, Chongqing national four or five standard gasoline replacement has been completed on the same day. At this point, 93 and 97 gasoline has become a history, ushered in the 92 and 95 gasoline era”. At present, the country’s five standard 92 and 95 gasoline prices were 6.14 yuan and 6.49 yuan per liter.

Sinopec Chongqing branch retail center manager Xu Jie told reporters, through the early replacement started the upgrade to 10 am, the 280 gas station has completed 93, No. 97 gasoline clear delisting of Sinopec Chongqing’s 92 and 95, a comprehensive listing of gasoline.

“National five standard compared to the four standard gasoline more environmentally friendly, to a certain extent, can also protect the engine.” PetroChina Chongqing sales company, the person in charge of the national five standard gasoline sulfur, olefins and manganese content, sulfur content of diesel oil and sixteen alkanes are lower than the national standard four. Among them, the sulfur content from the country four standard is not greater than 50ppm down to the country five standard is not more than 10ppm. After the upgrade will be achieved at least 10% and 7% of nitrogen oxides emission reduction, hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide, particulate matter emissions will be effectively controlled, thereby reducing the emission of PM2.5 in automobile exhaust.

According to reports, the gasoline grade is determined according to the octane number, the current Chongqing market 90, 93, 97 car with gasoline label has been adjusted to 89, 92, 95. In addition, in order to meet the needs of some consumers of high grade gasoline, currently in the sale of four of the country’s 98 standard gasoline will be upgraded to the country 98 standard five gasoline.
It is reported that the country’s five standard diesel replacement will be completed 15 days of this month.