DOP price dance with ISO octanol

Price trend

 

Azodicarbonamide (AC foaming Agent)

According to the data monitoring of the business association, the plasticizer DOP market followed the octanol market this week, and the DOP price fluctuated and adjusted. As of January 25, the price of DOP was 9400.00 yuan / ton, down 0.79% from 9475.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of last week.

 

Upstream market of industrial chain

 
It can be seen from the price trend chart of isooctanol that the price of isooctanol fluctuated and adjusted this week, the overall market of isooctanol fluctuated and weakened, the cost of DOP raw materials fluctuated and adjusted, the rising power of DOP weakened, and the downward pressure increased.

 
As can be seen from the trend chart of phthalic anhydride, the price of phthalic anhydride rose slightly this week, the market of phthalic anhydride recovered slightly, the cost of raw material phthalic anhydride of DOP rose slightly, the downward pressure of DOP decreased, and the upward momentum increased.

 

Downstream market of industrial chain

 
It can be seen from the PVC price trend chart that this week, PVC prices rose, PVC market recovered, DOP demand rose, DOP downstream market recovered, plasticizer DOP market increased.

 

Market summary and future expectation

 

Bai Jiaxin, DOP data analyst of business news agency, believes that this week, DOP raw material ISO octanol price fluctuated and adjusted, DOP cost fluctuated and adjusted; downstream PVC market recovered, DOP demand increased, DOP rising momentum increased. On the whole, PVC market rebounded, DOP demand rose, but the overall DOP rising power was limited, the price of isooctanol fluctuated and adjusted, DOP market followed the price of isooctanol, DOP danced with the price of isooctanol.

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Analysis of Styrene Market on January 22

On January 22, the overall styrene market fell. Crude oil was stable, pure benzene was closed, ethylene was weak, styrene cost support was acceptable, and styrene continued to reduce its position in the night market. This week, the import supply was obviously low, the port inventory accumulation was slow, the operation rate of domestic styrene rose, and the supply on site was good. On the downstream side, as the downstream plants gradually enter the production reduction or shutdown period in the last ten days of ABS, the demand for styrene shrinks again. EPS and PS need to be observed. Generally speaking, with the advent of seasonal off-season, the demand support of the three downstream plants is not strong. And according to market news, next week, the main port’s arrival volume is around 50000 tons, and the arrival volume is too much. If there is no closure and other accidents, the main port will accumulate again. It is expected that in the short term, the market will once again periodically suppress the profit of styrene production, and styrene may adjust in a weak way,

 

Today, the price of styrene in East China was lowered to 6800-6900 yuan / ton. The price is around 6300-6400 yuan / ton in Northeast China and 6900-7000 yuan / ton in South China.

povidone Iodine

The price of dimethyl ether fluctuated and rose in early January

In 2021, the market of dimethyl ether continued the rising trend at the end of 2020. At present, it is more than half in January. The trend of dimethyl ether is twists and turns, and the overall fluctuation rises. According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the average price of dimethyl ether in Henan market was 3333.33 yuan / ton on January 1, and 3540.00 yuan / ton on January 15, with a half month increase of 6.20%. As of January 15, the domestic market prices of dimethyl ether are as follows:

EDTA

Region specification Date Quotation

The mass fraction of DME in Shandong area: ≥ 99.0% on January 15, > 3460-3700 yuan / ton

The mass fraction of dimethyl ether in Hebei area: ≥ 99.0% on January 15 to 3500 yuan / ton

The mass fraction of dimethyl ether in Henan Province: ≥ 99.0% on January 15, > 3480 yuan / ton

After the new year’s day, due to the strong trend of international crude oil, the price of LPG civil market rose sharply, the news was favorable to the market mentality, and the demand for storage and replenishment after the festival in the downstream, the market enthusiasm was high, the market transaction atmosphere was good, the manufacturers shipped smoothly, the inventory was mostly at a low level, and the ex factory price was greatly increased.

 

According to the data monitoring of the business community, the market weakened from January 10 to 11. Due to the rapid price rise of the LPG civil market after the festival and the limited downstream acceptance capacity, after the completion of replenishment, most of them withdraw from the market and wait-and-see, with poor enthusiasm for entering the market, the market transaction atmosphere weakened obviously compared with the previous period, and the power to continue to rise was insufficient. Affected by this, the mentality of dimethyl ether Market has weakened, and the manufacturer has slightly reduced the ex factory price. However, in just two days, the market went up again, and the wide rise of methanol cost market boosted the market. Then on the 12th, the international crude oil rose, and the news boosted the market mentality. The civil LPG market followed the rise, and the price difference between gas and ether widened again. The LPG futures rose, and the dimethyl ether market mentality improved, following the rise of civil gas. Under the mentality of controlling the rise of the downstream, the manufacturer replenished goods in the market, the shipment was smooth, the mentality was firm, and the inventory was free of pressure.

 

At present, the operating rate of dimethyl ether Market is about 16%, which is not different from the previous period, and the market supply is relatively stable. In terms of demand, the terminal demand is better, and the downstream market entry is more positive. But the cost of horizontal finishing, the market support is limited. In the future, the dimethyl ether market may be dominated by weak consolidation in the short term.

Sodium Molybdate

Nitric acid price stable this week (1.4-1.8)

1、 Nitric acid market price trend chart

 

Chitosan oligosaccharide

Nitric acid price curve

 

According to the monitoring of business agency, the average price of nitric acid in domestic areas this week is 2050 yuan / ton, and the quotation is temporarily stable.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

Anhui Jinhe quoted 1950-2000 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week; Shandong helitai Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted 2200 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week; Wenshui Synthetic Chemical Co., Ltd. quoted 1950 yuan / ton of concentrated nitric acid, 810 yuan / ton of dilute nitric acid, which was the same as last week. The market of nitric acid is general, and the quotation of manufacturers is mainly for maintaining stable operation.

 

For upstream liquid ammonia, in Shandong this week, the mainstream market quotation was 3000-3150 yuan / ton, with a drop of about 100 yuan / ton, and the decline was 0.85% according to the monitoring of the business community; for downstream aniline, according to the data of the business community’s block list, the price of aniline was very high this week. On January 10, the price of aniline in Shandong was 7800-7900 yuan / ton, while that in Nanjing was 8000-8100 yuan / ton, the average price was the same as last week.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

Downstream demand slowed down, business analysts expect nitric acid prices or will decline.

Bacillus thuringiensis

On January 11, northwest calcium carbide quotation fell 4.31%

Trade name: calcium carbide

 

povidone Iodine

Latest price (January 11): 3333.33 yuan / ton

 

On January 11, the ex factory quotation of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell by 150.00 yuan / ton, or 4.31%, compared with the quotation on January 8. The price of raw material blue carbon was high and the cost of calcium carbide was well supported. The downstream PVC market has fallen sharply recently, downstream customers are generally enthusiastic about purchasing calcium carbide, the output of calcium carbide has risen, and the market supply exceeds demand. Calcium carbide fell slightly in the future.

 

In the near future, the factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China may fluctuate slightly: the quotation of the manufacturer is about 3300 yuan / ton.

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In 2020, the price of coke market fluctuate in the first half of the year and go up in the second half of the year

According to the data monitoring of the business society, the coke market in the first half of 2020 is mainly volatile, and it will go up all the way in the second half. By the end of the year, the coke market price in Shanxi was 2242.50 yuan / ton, up 26.93% from 1766.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the year, and the highest price reached 2242.50 yuan / ton, a new high in recent 10 years.

 

Gamma-PGA (gamma polyglutamic acid)

As shown in the figure above, the current trend in 2020 is basically the same from the current comparison chart of business community coke. At the beginning of 2020, the commodity market was affected by the public health events, and the coke market could not escape the downward trend. Then, the market trend was divided, with gold and black plates taking the lead, iron ore and coke both increasing by more than 50% annually.

 

In the first half of 2020, the coke market will fluctuate mainly in a “V” shape, and will go up all the way in the second half.

 

In the first half of the year, the coke market was mainly downward in the first quarter. Affected by public health events, production, transportation and other links were limited in the first quarter. The operating rate of coke related mining enterprises, coking enterprises and steel plants was generally low. In the case of weak supply and demand, the price was mainly downward. At the beginning of the second quarter, the domestic production, transportation and operation continued to improve, the limited production capacity of the ore terminal recovered, the supply improved, and the coke futures first fell and then rose, further benefiting the mentality of the spot market. The start-up of downstream steel plants has been gradually restored, and the demand for coke is good. Superimposed with the promotion of the capacity reduction plan of each main production area in 2020, the black industrial chain is the main industry on the whole.

 

It can be seen from the above figure that the coke price has a stable trend of nearly half a month in mid July. After the first round of increase at the end of August, the coke market has been going up all the way. The reasons that support the price of coke rising all the way are as follows:

 

1. Capacity reduction:

 

2020 is the closing year of the 13th five year plan. The deadline for most of the de capacity policies in various regions is December 31, 2020, especially in the second half of the year. According to statistics, in 2020, the coke industry will eliminate about 67 million tons of backward production capacity, increase nearly 50 million tons of production capacity, and reduce about 17 million tons of production capacity. There will be about 56 million tons of new production capacity in 2021, and there are still nearly 35 million tons of backward production capacity, which will be gradually shut down in 2021 as planned. It can be said that capacity reduction in 2020 is the hot spot of coke industry throughout the year.

 

General Office of Shanxi Provincial People’s Government Taiyuan, Linfen, Changzhi and other cities are required to withdraw from coke ovens with the height of 4.3 meters and below according to the approved reduction plan, while Jinzhong, Luliang, Yuncheng, Xinzhou and Yangquan counties (cities and districts) belonging to the “1 + 30″ region strive to withdraw from coke ovens with the height of 4.3 meters and below. Before the heating season in 2020, the whole province will shut down and phase out, reducing the coking capacity by more than 20 million tons. We will continue to promote the relocation and withdrawal of heavy polluting enterprises in urban built-up areas and surrounding areas. By the end of October 2020, 11 Planning Districts of cities divided into districts will withdraw from iron and steel, coking and casting enterprises that do not meet the class A and class B standards of the industrial enterprise classification control of the Ministry of ecological environment, and from iron and steel enterprises that have not completed ultra-low emission transformation (including transportation) within the scope of “1 + 30″. In accordance with the Interim Provisions of Shanxi Province on the elimination of coal washing enterprises, the verification and identification of coal washing enterprises (factories) shall be completed before the end of September 2020. If the identification results belong to the elimination scope, the local county-level government shall ban them in accordance with the law.

 

Shandong Province issued the implementation plan on accelerating the high-quality development of seven high energy consuming industries, vigorously promoting the capacity reduction, integration and transfer of seven high energy consuming industries, such as steel, aluminum, refining, coking, chemical fertilizer, chlor alkali and tire, and striving to achieve reasonable structure, layout optimization and quality efficiency improvement of high energy consuming industries. The introduction of “one industry, one policy” has helped the orderly and powerful promotion of high-quality development of high energy consuming industries. In the coking industry, Shandong firmly promotes the elimination of backward production capacity, implements inventory management of existing coking projects, and implements the measures of “determining production by coal”, so as to ensure that the coke output of the whole province does not exceed 32 million tons this year.

 

In 2018, Hebei Province printed and issued the work plan for reducing production capacity of key industries in Hebei Province (2018-2020), making it clear that the steel production capacity of the whole province will be controlled within 200 million tons by the end of 2020.

 

Hebei provincial government has issued “several policies and measures on promoting the structural adjustment and high-quality development of coking industry”. For coke ovens with a height of 4.3m, relevant enterprises should put forward upgrading or reduction plans before the end of 2019, and all coke ovens with a height of 4.3m in the whole province will be shut down before the end of 2020.

 

Bacillus thuringiensis

2. Environmental protection

 

During the supply side reform of coking industry in 2017-2018, most backward production capacity will be eliminated in the past two years, and the coke output will be stable in 2019. After 2019, as the environmental protection and production restriction policy of coking industry will no longer be implemented across the board, the overall start-up of coking plant will remain high, and the coke output will reach a new high in the same year. In 2019, China’s total coking capacity will be about 640 million tons. Although the environmental protection policy is no longer one size fits all, the frequent environmental inspection still has a certain impact on the local coking enterprises.

 

3. Transportation

 

On June 11, 2020, we learned from the Department of ecological environment of Shanxi province that according to the work implementation plan of “public to railway” recently issued by Shanxi Province, all coal and coke out of the province should be transported by railway. However, the transportation in other areas is mainly automobile transportation. Since winter, there are more severe cold weather in 2020. The main coke producing areas in China are all in the colder areas in the north. The severe cold weather has a certain impact on the transportation and handling of coke.

 

4. Poor performance of new capacity

 

In 2020, the newly increased production capacity in China will be mainly concentrated in the areas where the previous 4.3m coke ovens were eliminated, such as the main production areas of Shanxi, Hebei and Inner Mongolia. Due to the fact that it will take about 2-3 months for the operation rate of newly increased production capacity to fully improve, the backward production capacity will be eliminated and forced to withdraw at the end of December. The production capacity of newly increased production capacity is limited, resulting in the tight supply of coke market noodles. In 2021, there will still be some new production capacity put into operation. According to the time node, most of the de production capacity will be implemented in the second quarter.

 

5. Better downstream demand

 

In 2020, the domestic steel production has been on the high side. Even if the overall domestic construction started in the first quarter is on the low side, the impact of the steel industry is still small. According to the Statistics Bureau, the domestic pig iron output from January to November 2020 was 812.9 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.20%. In 2020, the impact of environmental protection policies on steel plants is weaker than in previous years, and the production of emission enterprises after transformation has been relatively stable in autumn and winter this year. Stable high downstream demand provides strong support for the rise of coke price.

 

As of the end of August, coke has gone through 12 rounds of increase, including 11 and 12 rounds of increase of 100 yuan / ton, and 12 rounds of cumulative increase of 700 yuan / ton. Since entering the fourth quarter, the coke market has been facing the situation of tight supply, mainly concentrated in Shanxi, Henan and other places. In the case of low coke inventory, coke has been in the seller’s market in the fourth quarter. In addition, some steel mills have the demand for goods preparation before the Spring Festival, Hebei and other places are limited in outward transportation and other factors. At the beginning of 2021, the twelfth round of coke price rise will be implemented. From a macro point of view, 2021 is the first year of the 14th five year plan. Although it has made a good start for the coke market, with the gradual production of new production capacity, Coke will eventually enter a state of supply and demand balance. After coke goes out of the seller’s market, the price will eventually return. However, in terms of the current market in the first quarter, the price of coke is likely to reach a new high in the past decade.

Chitosan oligosaccharide

Eight figures of octanol in 2020

Price trend of Shandong octanol in 2020

 

EDTA 2Na

【1】 In 2020, the price of octanol in Shandong will fluctuate by 69.86%

 

As can be seen from the above figure, the ex factory price of octanol in Shandong will fluctuate and rise in 2020. As of December 31, the average ex factory price quoted by mainstream octanol manufacturers was 11833.33 yuan / ton, up 4866.66 yuan / ton or 69.86% compared with 6966.67 yuan / ton quoted at the beginning of the year.

 

【2】 Shandong octanol price fell 22.49% in the first quarter

 

In the first quarter of 2020, the market of octanol dropped. The ex factory price of octanol dropped from 6966.67 yuan / ton on January 1 to 5400.00 yuan / ton on March 31. The quoted price dropped by 1566.67 yuan / ton, or 22.49%. Overall, Shandong octanol market fell significantly in the first quarter.

 

【3】 The price of Shandong octanol rose 42.72% in the second quarter

 

Octanol market rose in the second quarter, the ex factory price rose from 5266.67 yuan / ton on April 1 to 7516.67 yuan / ton on June 30, up 2250.00 yuan / ton, or 42.72%; overall, octanol market rose sharply in the second quarter.

 

【4】 In the third quarter, the price of Shandong octanol fluctuated and fell by 1.11%

 

Bacillus thuringiensis

Octanol market fell first and then rose in the third quarter. The ex factory price of octanol dropped from 7516.67 yuan / ton on July 1 to 6916.67 yuan / ton on August 28, down 600.00 yuan / ton, down 7.98%; then it rose to 7416.67 yuan / ton on September 18, up 500.00 yuan / ton, up 7.23%. Finally, the price of 7420 yuan / ton was maintained until the end of the quarter. Overall, octanol market in the third quarter fell by 1.11%.

 

【5】 The price of Shandong octanol rose 59.19% in the fourth quarter

 

Octanol market rose sharply in the fourth quarter. The ex factory price of octanol increased from 7433.33 yuan / ton on October 1 to 11833.33 yuan / ton on December 31, and the quoted price increased by 4400.00 yuan / ton, or 59.19%. Overall, the octanol market rose sharply in the fourth quarter and stabilized at the end of the quarter.

 

【6】 Up 29.09% in a single month

 

In December 2020, the ex factory quotation of octanol increased from 9166.67 yuan / ton on December 1 to 11833.33 yuan / ton on December 31, with an increase of 2666.66 yuan / ton, the biggest monthly increase in 2020, with an increase of 29.09%.

 

【7】 The biggest drop in one month is 17.97%

 

In March 2020, the ex factory quotation of octanol decreased from 6583.33 yuan / ton on March 1 to 5400.00 yuan / ton on March 31, with a decrease of 1183.33 yuan / ton, the largest monthly decrease of 17.97%.

 

【8】 The highest price difference of octanol in 2020 is 6800.00 yuan / ton

 

On April 3, 2020, the average ex factory price of octanol is 5066.67 yuan / ton, which is the lowest price of octanol this year. On December 21, 2020, the average ex factory price of octanol is 11866.67 yuan / ton, which is the highest price of octanol this year. Compared with the lowest price, the price difference of octanol is 6800.00 yuan / ton.

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Environmental control upgrade, Shandong formaldehyde market shock consolidation

According to the data of the commodity list of the business society, the recent formaldehyde Market in Shandong is stable. The average price of formaldehyde in Shandong is 1167.67 yuan / ton. The current price is down 4.11% month on month, and the current price is up 10.06% year on year.

 

EDTA

Recently, the domestic formaldehyde market price fluctuated and consolidated. As of December 28, the mainstream factory price in Central China was about 1250 yuan / ton, the mainstream factory price in North China was 1000 yuan / ton, and the mainstream factory price in East China was 1210 yuan / ton. Shandong Linyi Hongfa formaldehyde production capacity of 70000 tons / year formaldehyde plant shutdown. Recently, environmental management and control in Shandong Province has been upgraded, and some formaldehyde factories have been shut down for maintenance. Generally speaking, the market turnover rate is low.

 

Upstream methanol situation: Shandong methanol Lubei market negotiation focused on 2270-2290 yuan / ton to cash. The quotation of methanol market in southern Shandong fell by 10 yuan / ton to 2330-2340 yuan / ton in cash. Linyi received local goods at 2300-2320 yuan / ton, and delivered them without tax. The quotation of logistics goods is not available. The transaction price of methanol market in central Shandong is stable at 2340 yuan / ton, and the transaction price of peripheral goods is stable at 2280-2300 yuan / ton, and the negotiation is limited. Methanol market in some areas fell slightly, limited support for formaldehyde.

 

Recently, the environmental protection control continued to upgrade, the traditional downstream wood board enterprises were affected by this, the demand for formaldehyde continued to weaken, and the market trading atmosphere was light. Formaldehyde market shock consolidation.

 

Recently, the upstream raw material methanol market fluctuated slightly, with little change. Formaldehyde manufacturers and some downstream plate enterprises were affected by the new round of domestic environmental protection control and stopped production. Therefore, the formaldehyde analysts of business society chemical branch predicted that the recent formaldehyde price in Shandong would mainly fall below.

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Acetic anhydride market stabilized temporarily this week (12.14-12.18)

Price trend

 

povidone Iodine

According to the business agency data monitoring, acetic anhydride prices temporarily stable this week, acetic anhydride market stability. As of December 21, the average price of acetic anhydride quoted was 7600.00 yuan / ton, which was temporarily stable, up 0% compared with the 7600.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week (December 13), and increased by 69.83% compared with the same period last year.

 

Acetic acid price trend

 

As can be seen from the acetic acid price trend chart, the acetic acid price fell slightly this week, with a decrease of 2.78%. This week, the cost of acetic anhydride fell, the driving force for the rise of acetic anhydride weakened, the downward pressure increased, and the market of acetic anhydride fell.

 

Methanol price trend

 

As can be seen from the methanol price trend chart, the methanol price rose by 7.04% this week; the cost of acetic anhydride rose, and the driving force of acetic anhydride market was still there.

 

Market review and future forecast

 

According to Bai Jiaxin, an analyst of acetic anhydride data from the business agency, the price of acetic anhydride raw material acetic acid fell this week, and the price of methanol rose. The overall cost of acetic anhydride fluctuated to maintain stability, and the driving force of acetic anhydride market still remained, and the downward pressure increased. With the price of raw materials of acetic anhydride stabilized, the rising power of acetic anhydride weakened, and the market of acetic anhydride stabilized. Overall, the price of acetic anhydride raw materials tends to be stable, and the future market of acetic anhydride is stable.

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China Domestic market price of phthalic anhydride falls this week (12.14-12.17)

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride continued to decline this week. As of the 18th day, the quotation of phthalic anhydride was 6075 yuan / ton, which was 7.78% lower than the price of 6587.5 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, and 4.33% lower than that at the beginning of the week. The domestic market price of phthalic anhydride fell sharply.

 

Sodium Molybdate

This week, the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride dropped sharply. The situation of the sale of phthalic anhydride market was general. In the near future, the downstream demand declined, the price of o-benzene decreased, the market of plasticizer was general, and the price trend of phthalic anhydride market dropped sharply. Domestic phthalic anhydride manufacturers have little change in operation. The operating rate of phthalic anhydride is about 60%. The domestic phthalic anhydride spot supply is sufficient. The downstream plasticizer industry mainly purchases on demand. The situation of on-site delivery is not good, and the market price is falling. The price trend of phthalic anhydride market in East China is declining, and the high-end transaction is limited. In East China, the mainstream of neighboring France source negotiation is 6000-6200 yuan / ton, naphthalene method is 5900-6000 yuan / ton; the mainstream quotation of phthalic anhydride market in North China is 6000-6200 yuan / ton, and the market outlook of phthalic anhydride is still in the market, and the market price trend of phthalic anhydride continues to decline.

 

This week, the domestic price of o-benzene dropped to 5500 yuan / T, with a decrease of 1.08%. The decline of domestic o-benzene price was the negative effect of phthalic anhydride market. In addition, the import market of o-benzene in port area declined, and the external quotation of o-benzene was mainly lower. The actual transaction price was subject to negotiation. The actual list was discussed in detail. In addition, the on-site o-benzene merchants were still in a wait-and-see mood, so the o-benzene price went The trend of domestic phthalic anhydride market price fell down slightly, and the price of raw material ortho benzene declined, which was negative for the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride. In addition, the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride fell due to the sufficient supply of goods.

 

The DOP market price of phthalic anhydride downstream rose sharply this week. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the domestic DOP price was 10533.33 yuan / ton as of the 18th day, which was 8.22% higher than the price of 9733.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week. The price of octanol for DOP raw materials rose sharply. The equipment of DOP enterprises began to decrease. PVC prices rebounded and recovered. Downstream customers actively purchased and plasticizer transactions were active. DOP manufacturers started stable, DOP supply was normal, plasticizer prices rose, the transaction price was subject to the real-time price, the overall DOP price was about 10600-11000 yuan / ton, the future DOP market continued to rise, but the poor delivery of phthalic anhydride in the field led to a sharp decline in price.

 

On the whole, the recent trend of crude oil price remains high, the domestic o-benzene price is slightly lower, but the plasticizer market price has increased, and the phthalic anhydride market price is lower.

 

In the future, the domestic o-benzene price trend is mainly down, but the plasticizer trading market is general, the floor price has an upward trend, and the future DOP price trend is rising. It is expected that the phthalic anhydride market price will remain mainly volatile next week.

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