Low market price operation of phosphorus ore on November 18

I. price trend

 

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, as of November 18, the average price of 30% grade phosphate rock in China was around 415 yuan / ton, slightly fluctuating compared with the price at the end of October.

 

II. Market analysis

 

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Products: in winter, the phosphorus ore market has been operating at a low level. Just in the past week, the overall market of domestic phosphorus ore market has not recovered significantly, and the weak trend is still the same. Affected by environmental protection policies, the production of the mine is limited, new orders are still not traded, the enterprise’s starting rate is low, the overall supply of the factory is declining, and the mine and dealers are keeping more prices Status: the willingness of some enterprises to hold a firm price is obvious, and the prices of individual enterprises are high, and the actual transaction is low. As of November 18, the quotation of 30% grade phosphate ore shipboard in Hubei is around 440 yuan / ton, which is slightly lower. The price of 28% ammonium phosphate ore shipboard in Hubei is 390-400 yuan / ton; the price of 30% phosphate ore shipboard in Guizhou is around 340-430 yuan / ton, the price of 28% phosphate ore shipboard is around 330 yuan / ton, the price of 22% phosphate ore shipboard is around 150 yuan / ton; the price of 30% phosphate ore shipboard in Hebei is around 300 yuan / ton The ex factory quotation of phosphate rock is around 520 yuan / ton; the quotation of 30% grade phosphate rock in Guangxi is around 380 yuan / ton; the quotation of 26% high magnesium phosphate rock in Mabian is around 230 yuan / ton.

 

Industry chain: the price of downstream Yellow Phosphorus market continues to be stable, and the new orders on the market are acceptable. The current new orders on the yellow phosphorus Market refer to 18400-18600 yuan / ton. Phosphoric acid market continues to be stable, with relatively cold trading. Enterprises maintain orders from old customers, with stable prices and average volume of new orders.

 

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III. future forecast

 

According to the analysis of the data division of the business association, the phosphorus ore market as a whole has entered the off-season. Affected by the limited production and limited quantity, the enterprise has more insured shipments. It is expected that the overall price of the phosphorus ore market will maintain stability in the near future, and there is little room for quotation adjustment.

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Antimony ingot market price is stable this week (11.11-11.15)

I. price trend

This week (11.11-11.15), the price of 1 × antimony ingot in China was stable, and the domestic market price was 42000 yuan / ton.

 

On November 9, the antimony commodity index was 58.47, unchanged from yesterday, down 42.86% from 102.32 (2012-10-16), the highest point in the cycle, and up 24.46% from 46.98, the lowest point on December 24, 2015. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-09-08 to now).

 

II. Market analysis

 

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Upstream and downstream: antimony oxide remained stable with the trend of antimony ingot on Wednesday, and the transaction was light. As of Friday, the average price of antimony trioxide was 99.5% at 37000 yuan / ton and 99.8% at 39250 yuan / ton.

 

Domestic market: this week’s antimony ingot Market is weak and consolidated, with limited market trading and low turnover. The downstream wait-and-see mood is strong. However, affected by the market atmosphere, most of them remain wait-and-see, with low purchase intention and seasonal downturn. As of Friday, the average price of 2 × low bismuth antimony ingots is 41000 yuan / ton, 1 × antimony ingots is 41500 yuan / ton, 0 × antimony ingots is 42500 yuan / ton, and 2 × high bismuth antimony ingots is 39000 yuan / ton. The willingness of most large factories to hold up their prices is still strong. Most enterprises hold up their prices, and some small factories loose their prices, mainly to reduce the financial pressure.

 

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Nonferrous Industry: this week’s data in Europe and the United States was lower than expected, the U.S. dollar index was high and volatile, and basic metals fell across the board under the pressure of short return.

 

III. future prospects

 

Next week, the US data is expected to be moderate, and the US dollar is expected to fall back at a high level. The domestic metal market will attract long-term delivery of spot goods. Under the condition of loose capital, support for base metal repair fell sharply this week, and some metal items that can be supported by the fundamentals are expected to recover. The spot antimony market is expected to wait and see next week.

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Potassium nitrate fell sharply this week (11.3-11.8)

I. price trend

 

According to the data monitored by the business agency, the price of domestic potassium nitrate fluctuated and fell this week. At the beginning of the week, the price of domestic industrial grade first-class potassium nitrate was 4362.50 yuan / ton, and at the end of the week, the price of domestic industrial grade first-class potassium nitrate was 4337.50 yuan / ton, down 0.57%. The current price was 5.45% lower than last year.

 

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II. Market analysis

 

Product: this week, the domestic potassium nitrate market fluctuated and fell. In November, the recent domestic potassium fertilizer market showed no obvious signs of improvement. The trading atmosphere in the potassium nitrate Market was relatively light. The downstream maintained rigid purchase, and was in a stable period of consumption. The supply and demand were relatively stable, and the market was in a consolidation state. As a whole, the operating rate of potassium nitrate manufacturers is at a low level, so the overall inventory of potassium nitrate is at a low level, and there is no sales pressure for the time being. The downstream purchase volume is on the low side for a small amount of replenishment, and there is basically no stock up situation, and the price of potassium nitrate keeps fluctuating and falling. Domestic mainstream manufacturers of potassium nitrate offer 4200-4500 yuan / ton.

 

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III. future forecast

 

Potassium nitrate analyst of business association thinks: this week, the market of potassium nitrate fluctuates and falls, the supply of goods in the hands of traders is relatively sufficient, the potash fertilizer market has always been tepid and tepid, the downstream demand has not improved temporarily, it is expected that the demand of potassium nitrate will not change greatly in the short term, and the market may be in full swing.

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The market price of cis-1-polybutadiene rubber fell sharply in October (10.1-10.31)

I. trend analysis

 

According to the data monitoring of business agency, the price of domestic cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber fell sharply in October, with the price at the beginning of the month at 12900 yuan / ton and the price at the end of the month at 11150 yuan / ton. The overall price at the end of the month was 13.57% lower than that at the beginning of the month.

 

II. Market analysis

 

Cost side: the price of raw material butadiene drops sharply, and the cost side drags down the market of Shunding

 

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In October, the price of raw material butadiene fell sharply, dragging the price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber. In October, the northern spot supply was abundant, and the downstream purchase was partial to Dandan, which led to the depressed market inquiry atmosphere. In addition, the butadiene market in the outer market declined due to the pressure of ocean shipping, and the overall atmosphere was mainly weak. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the price of raw butadiene in October was 11581 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month and 9614 yuan / ton at the end of the month, down 16.98% on the whole.

 

From the price comparison index chart, since October, with the sharp decline of butadiene and cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber prices, the price comparison index of both went down all the way. From the perspective of price trend comparison chart, the gap between the two price trends narrowed all the way, and the cost pressure of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber gradually eased.

 

Supply side: a slight reduction in the supply of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber forms a certain support for the price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber

 

On the one hand, Sinopec and PetroChina plants started to operate normally, on the other hand, Yantai Haopu and Qixiang Tengda plants continued to shut down, Zhejiang ChuanHua low load production, overall, the supply of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber in October was further reduced slightly compared with that in September.

 

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Demand side: the overall procurement of the downstream is weak in October

 

In the early period of national day and early October, affected by environmental protection, the domestic tire operating rate declined. After the national day, the tire operating rate gradually picked up, but the overall operating rate is still below 70%, and the demand for cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber is still weak. According to the business news agency, as of October 25, the operating rate of all steel tire and half steel tire in China had risen to 65.4% and 67.45% respectively.

 

III. future prospects

 

Business analysts believe that the upstream raw material butadiene price fell sharply, while the downstream tire operating rate is still below 70%, which is insufficient support for cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber. Overall, the cis-4-polybutadiene rubber price will present a weak consolidation pattern in the later period.

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This week, China’s domestic chloroform market remained stable (10.21-10.25)

I. price trend

 

According to the monitoring of bulk data of business agency, the domestic trichloromethane market remained low this week, and the price of trichloromethane in Shandong Province remained at about 1900 yuan / ton in the week.

 

II. Cause analysis

 

Product reason: the domestic trichloromethane production unit operates stably, the supply of goods in the field is sufficient, the market of trichloromethane is in poor condition, and the operation is kept at a low level for a long time. At present, the price of trichloromethane in Shandong is about 1900 yuan / ton; the price of Trichloromethane in Jiangsu is about 3800 yuan / ton; the price of Jiangxi Liwen is about 2850 yuan / ton. In terms of unit start-up, Jinling, Shandong Province started normal operation, Luxi Chemical industry started 60%, Jiangsu Liwen unit started normal operation, Jiangxi Liwen unit started 50%.

 

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Industry chain: on the upstream side, affected by the poor delivery of goods from the downstream, the domestic methanol market fell sharply in a week, down 10.47% in a week, at present, about 2100 yuan / ton; the liquid chlorine market was affected by the overhaul, the supply was tight in a week, and the price continued to rise. At present, the enterprise reported an extra 700-850 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the production and domestic sales quota of R22 is tightening, and the manufacturers’ confidence in holding prices is increasing, which stimulates the enthusiasm of middlemen to store goods, and the supply of small packaging products of some enterprises is tight; the pharmaceutical and agricultural intermediate industry is affected by environmental protection, and the construction is flat, and the purchase is just needed.

 

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 42nd week of 2019 (10.21-10.25), there are 10 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the chemical sector, including 2 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 2.4% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are epichlorohydrin (8.05%), sulfur (5.05%) and sulfuric acid (4.88%). There are 41 kinds of commodities decreased on a month-on-month basis, 4 kinds of commodities decreased by more than 5%, accounting for 4.8% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products decreased were formaldehyde (37%) (- 9.21%), nitric acid (- 8.62%), acetic acid (- 5.29%).

 

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III. future forecast

 

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, at present, the market of trichloromethane is in the traditional off-season, and the price remains low. In the near future, the upstream and downstream markets recover briefly, which has a certain positive support for the price of trichloromethane. It is expected that the market of Trichloromethane will remain stable in the short term, or will recover slightly.

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Market price of dry process aluminum fluoride fell this week (10.20-10.25)

I. price trend

 

 

According to the data in the business club’s large list, the domestic dry process aluminum fluoride market price remained stable this week, with an average market price of 10000 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week and 9600 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 4% from last week.

 

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II. Market analysis

 

The price of aluminum fluoride is stable this week: at present, the price of aluminum fluoride in Henan is 9400-9700 yuan / ton, and that in Shandong is 9400-9800 yuan / ton. Zhengzhou Tianrui Grain Technology Co., Ltd. quoted 10500 yuan / ton of aluminum fluoride, Shandong LUZHENG chemical aluminum fluoride to 11000 yuan / ton, Zhengzhou Zerun energy chemical aluminum fluoride 8800 yuan / ton.

 

Industry chain: in the near future, the operation rate of hydrofluoric acid in China is more than 60%. The enterprise reflects that the current spot supply of hydrofluoric acid in the site is sufficient, and the recent delivery situation in the site is poor. In the near future, due to the poor downstream demand, the prices of some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers continue to decline. In the near future, the start-up of downstream refrigerant product units is at a low level, and the demand for upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid is poor. In the near future, the trading market of downstream refrigerants is general, and the price of hydrofluoric acid products fluctuates. At present, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market continues to decline, and the price of hydrofluoric acid market has dropped as much as 20% in three months. Downstream aluminum fluoride manufacturers have been following the decline, this week aluminum fluoride market prices continue to decline.

 

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III. future forecast

 

Analysts of aluminum fluoride industry in the chemical branch of business society think: the market price of upstream hydrofluoric acid keeps falling, and downstream aluminum fluoride manufacturers keep falling. It is expected that the market price of aluminum fluoride will continue to be stable and moderate next week.

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Butadiene market prices fell sharply

I. price trend

 

The domestic butadiene market fell sharply this week (10.14-10.18). According to the monitoring of the business agency, the domestic butadiene market price at the beginning of the week was 11562 yuan / ton, and the domestic butadiene price at the end of the week was 10513 yuan / ton, down 9.07% in the week, 4.53% month on month, 0.26% year-on-year.

 

II. Analysis of influencing factors

 

Products: this week (10.14-10.18), the domestic butadiene market fell sharply, the northern spot supply was abundant, and the downstream mentality continued to be short, resulting in a depressed market inquiry atmosphere. In addition, the external market was vulnerable to the pressure of ocean shipping, which dragged the domestic butadiene spot market to continue to decline, and the prices of foreign manufacturers and Sinopec were frequently lowered, leading to a sharp decline in the market. Until Thursday (10.17), the price of northeast manufacturers dropped to about 9500-9600 yuan / ton, and the downstream stage just needed to bargain and make up the position, the market turnover improved, and the atmosphere slightly changed. However, the price of synthetic rubber continues to decline, the butadiene market in the north is relatively abundant, and some businesses are still cautious. In terms of price, the price of superior products delivered in Shandong is 10100-10200 yuan / ton, and that in East China is 10400-10500 yuan / ton, all of which are more than 1000 yuan lower than last week.

 

For enterprises: Sinopec’s total supply price of butadiene in East China has been reduced by 1000 yuan / ton to 11000 yuan / ton; Liaotong chemical’s base price of butadiene in node auction on Monday has been reduced to 10610 yuan / ton, 286 tons of goods have been sold; on Thursday, node price of 9660 yuan / ton has been priced for export of 390 tons; Fushun Petrochemical’s 360 tons of butadiene have been sold for export within the week, with the transaction price of 9520 yuan / ton; shenhuaning coal butadiene has been sold for export of 9090 yuan / ton. Compared with the previous month, it dropped by 1300 yuan / T; Guangzhou Petrochemical’s 30000t / a butadiene plant was shut down for maintenance on October 10, with a planned maintenance period of 25 days; Maoming Petrochemical’s first-line butadiene plant was shut down for maintenance on October 14, with the downstream SBS plant shut down simultaneously; Inner Mongolia Jiutai’s 70000t / a oxidative dehydrogenation plant was shut down for maintenance on October 14, with a planned restart on October 20, with a small amount of inventory for export.

 

Industrial chain: in terms of downstream synthetic rubber, styrene butadiene rubber. This week, the ex factory price of styrene butadiene rubber fell three times, with a cumulative decline of 800-900 yuan / ton. The market offer also fell significantly, and some offers are still tentative shipments below the supply price. During the week, the main styrene butadiene rubber units were in normal operation, but Qilu had a large amount of pending inspection, and the delivery was a little slow, and the market was slightly tight; the external market of raw butadiene fell slightly, the domestic market fell sharply, the styrene price also fell, and the overall cost performance was negative; the theoretical production of Dante styrene rubber continued to hang upside down, so under this pressure, some private units have not yet been fully loaded, and the follow-up still needs continuous attention. ; in terms of demand, under the guidance of not buying and falling mentality, the actual purchase in the downstream market is more rigid and the price is lower, so the support for the real market is general; in conclusion, the SBR market this week showed a downward trend. In terms of price, the mainstream price of Qilu 1502 in Shandong is around 10500 yuan / ton, and that of Fushun 1502 in East China is around 10400-10500 yuan / ton.

 

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The influence of SBR on butadiene: in the next period, the price decline of SBR in China slowed down, and entered the late of the month or appeared range shock. Poor U.S. economic data and the risk of brexit aggravate the market’s pessimistic expectation on the economy, which is a negative guide on the macro side; the demand side of Tianjiao is weak, and Shanghai Jiaotong has no obvious guide for the time being; the price of raw material butadiene drops rapidly, but the supply of butadiene in East China tank farm is low, and the low price may present just need for replenishment, which will support the future market of butadiene.

 

Polybutadiene rubber: this week, both the factory and market prices of polybutadiene are in a downward trend. On the cost side, butadiene prices continued to fall, showing slightly negative guidance. On the supply side, the ChuanHua Shunding unit was restarted, and the mainstream Shunding units in Yanshan, Yangzi, Daqing, Sichuan and Qilu were in normal operation. In addition, the supply side was abundant due to the supplement of spot market. On the demand side, the downstream construction situation has improved, but under the guidance of not buying down mentality, the market entry is cautious and wait-and-see, there is no intention to store goods in batches, only to maintain just need to reduce the price to buy. In view of the above conditions, the market price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber fell sharply. After the supply price fell, there was also a lot of upside down supply of cis-4-polybutadiene rubber, dragging the market forward. In addition, the price of styrene butadiene was also relatively low, which made the sentiment of the industry more bearish. In terms of price, CNPC’s factory price is 11300 yuan / ton for Daqing Shunding in North China and 11300-11400 yuan / ton for Daqing Shunding market in Shandong. The above price is for reference only.

 

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The effect of BR on butadiene: the domestic br market is likely to weaken slightly next week. On the cost side, the price of raw butadiene continues to decline, which is a bad guide to the psychology of the industry. In fact, the production cost pressure of Shunding is still there. On the supply side, the ChuanHua Shunding unit is restarted, the blue deshunding unit is expected to restart, and the rest of the mainstream Shunding units continue to operate normally, with the supply side or more relaxed. On the demand side, the construction of downstream tire factories has picked up, but today it starts to run. Due to the impact of environmental protection policies, the production of pipe belt factories in North and other regions was again limited and shut down, with a slight negative impact. As a whole, the downstream market continued to press the price to buy; Shanghai Rubber Co., Ltd. concussed and sorted out, and the price difference between its spot and CIS butyl rubber narrowed. At present, there is no clear guidance in the news.

III. future forecast

 

On the positive side, the stage rigidity of the lower reaches of the North needs to be supported, and the supply side’s inventory pressure has been alleviated to a certain extent. On the negative side, there will be a slight increase in the arrival of cargo in the next period; the external market is weak; the synthetic rubber market is declining; it is difficult to have sustained support for rigid demand. The sharp price reduction of northern manufacturers stimulated the need to make up positions in the downstream stage, and the market atmosphere slightly improved in the late week. But at the same time, the downstream synthetic rubber market maintained a downward trend, and the downstream stage rigid demand is difficult to bring sustained good support. In the next cycle, in view of the current easing of the supply side inventory pressure, it is expected that the manufacturer’s prices will be consolidated; however, there is no obvious price difference between the north and the south, and the imported cargoes from East China will arrive in Hong Kong next week, and the supply and demand in the north is still abundant, so it is difficult to have a significant positive effect on the market supply and demand fundamentals. The business community butanediene analysts expect that the short-term domestic butadiene market will still have a weak expectation after the consolidation. Suggestions Pay attention to the manufacturer’s export policy and internal and external price guidelines.

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Antimony ingot market price continues to rise this week (10.14-10.18)

I. price trend

 

This week (10.14-10.18) the price of 1 × antimony ingot in China rose. The average price of domestic market at the beginning of the week was 40750 yuan / ton, while the average price at the end of the week was 42000 yuan / ton, up 3.07%.

 

On October 19, the antimony commodity index was 58.47, unchanged from yesterday, down 42.86% from 102.32 (2012-10-16), the highest point in the cycle, and up 24.46% from 46.98, the lowest point on December 24, 2015. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-09-08 to now).

 

II. Market analysis

 

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Upstream and downstream: the price of antimony oxide rose with the trend of antimony ingot on Wednesday, and the transaction was limited. As of Friday, the average price of antimony trioxide was 99.5% at 36500 yuan / ton and 99.8% at 38500 yuan / ton.

 

Domestic market: this week’s antimony ingot market continues the trend of last week’s rising trend. Due to the firm firm price information of major domestic manufacturers, the price of this week has increased significantly. As of Friday, the average price of 2 × low bismuth antimony ingots is 41000 yuan / ton, 1 × antimony ingots is 41500 yuan / ton, 0 × antimony ingots is 42500 yuan / ton, and the average price of 2 × high bismuth antimony ingots is 39000 yuan / ton. 2. The increase of high bismuth antimony ingot is 2000 yuan / ton, and that of other models is 2500 yuan / ton. At the end of the third quarter, we will enter the traditional peak season of the fourth quarter. The downstream stock is more active. The overall transaction of the market is good. Some traders are reluctant to sell, and the overall market atmosphere is good.

 

Nonferrous Industry: market sentiment was mixed this week. At the beginning of this week, China and the United States reached an agreement on the framework of trade negotiations. The process of brexit was accelerated, the market performance was good, and basic metals generally stabilized in a high range of shocks. However, with the release of global economic data in succession, the trend of global economic downturn made the basic metals one after another spit out the weekly gains, showing a high pressure situation.

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III. future prospects

 

Next week, European and American economic data are still relatively concentrated, and it is expected to remain weak. The US dollar is in low-level consolidation, which may support the basic metals. There are long orders delivered in the domestic trade market. Due to the upgrade of value-added tax tickets, the spot performance may be strong. Most of the basic metals will maintain the range shock pattern, and it is temporarily difficult to breed the ability and space for a major breakthrough. In terms of antimony ingot, the market confidence will continue to recover under the influence of the overall good performance of the market and obvious firm price sentiment of manufacturers, and the firm price may continue for some time.

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China’s domestic rare earth market keeps falling

Recently, the price of heavy rare earth in China has dropped sharply, and the price trend of some rare earth products is as follows:

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Recently, the market price of heavy rare earth in China has dropped sharply. As of October 18, the price of dysprosium oxide was 1705000 yuan / ton, a drop of 8.58%; the price of dysprosium ferroalloy was 1705000 yuan / ton, a drop of 8.58%; the market price of light rare earth has also dropped correspondingly, the price of neodymium oxide was 307500 yuan / ton, a drop of 3.76% in October; the price of praseodymium neodymium alloy was 387500 yuan / ton, a drop of 4.91%; and the price of praseodymium neodymium alloy was 387500 yuan / ton. Oxide prices fell to 306500 yuan / ton, down 3.46% in October. In recent years, the price of heavy rare earth in China has declined significantly, and the price of light rare earth market has declined slightly. In recent years, Myanmar has reopened its gateway, and the supply of heavy rare earth market in China has increased. Affected by the low price selling of some manufacturers, the price of heavy rare earth market has been falling continuously.

 

On October 18, the rare earth index was 360 points, down 2 points from yesterday, 64.00% from the highest point in the cycle (2011-12-06), and 32.84% higher than the lowest point 271 on September 13, 2015. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-12-01 to now).

 

In recent years, the price of rare earth in the market has been falling continuously, and the price of heavy rare earth in the rare earth market has declined by a large margin. With the reopening of the gateway in Myanmar, the supply of domestic heavy rare earth market has increased, and some on-site merchants have sold off, and the price of domestic heavy rare earth continues to decline. In addition, in the near future, the demand for permanent magnet is still not improving, the market trend of PR nd series products is declining, the on-site supply is normal, the demand for light rare earth is not good in the near future, and the market price is low. The price fluctuation of rare earth market is related to the national environmental protection supervision. Rare earth production has particularity, especially some products have radiation hazards, which makes the environmental protection supervision more strict. Under the strict environmental protection inspection, the manufacturers reasonably controlled the sales, but in the near future, the downstream demand entered the off-season, some enterprises sold at low prices, and the market price of light rare earth was correspondingly lower.

 

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In the near future, the national environmental protection department has made unremitting efforts to inspect the rare earth industry. Jiangxi Province has strengthened the supervision of the rare earth industry, which has a great impact on the rare earth industry. The rare earth industry has a relatively low start-up situation, and the market situation is cold, which has brought some good support to the rare earth market. Recently, the supervision group of the State Council went to Jiangxi Province to supervise rare earth enterprises. This supervision focused on the major deployment of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, highlighted the key and difficult issues in the field of economic operation and reform and development, focused on the strong blocking points and pain points reflected by the people and market subjects, and promoted the implementation of various work. In addition, the national development and Reform Commission and the relevant departments have taken effective measures to rectify and standardize the industry, innovated and improved the relevant management mechanism, accelerated the construction of an industry development pattern with reasonable industrial structure, advanced scientific and technological level, effective resource protection and orderly production and operation, effectively utilized the special value of rare earth as a strategic resource, and the supply of raw ore resources in the upstream of the rare earth industry has shrunk. , people in the domestic arena are waiting for the specific good news of the policy and the national reserve.

 

Rare earth analysts of the business club expect that in the near future, the intensity of strict environmental protection inspection in China will not be reduced. In addition, the order of rare earth industry will be rectified in China, and the supply of rare earth industry in Jiangxi will be maintained at a low level. However, the downstream demand for rare earth will not improve in the near future, and the import of heavy rare earth will increase. It is expected that some prices in rare earth market will continue to decline.

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Bromine market price is stable this week (10.7-10.11)

I. price data:

According to the data monitoring of the business club’s bulk list, the domestic bromine market is stable and rising this week, and is expected to keep rising in the future. At the beginning of the week, the average price of bromine in China was about 30687 yuan / ton, and at the end of the week, the average price was about 30750 yuan / ton, up 0.2% in the week, down 4.97% compared with the same period last year.

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II. Cause Analysis

Products: after the national day, the operating rate of bromine market in China has rebounded, most of the parking enterprises in North China are in a recovery state, and bromine enterprises in Shandong are operating steadily, with low inventory of manufacturers. As the weather turns cold, it is expected that bromine production in the future will gradually reduce, and the spot market supply will become scarce. At present, the mainstream quotation of the enterprise is about 30500-31000 yuan / ton.

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Industry chain: the upstream industry of bromine is up and down in different ways this week: the sulfur market bottomed out and rebounded, rising continuously in the week, at present at about 626 yuan / ton; the caustic soda market continues to be weak, down 1.18% in the week, at present at about 840 yuan / ton; the soda ash market operates stably in the week, at present, the average price is about 1740 yuan / ton; the downstream demand of sulfuric acid turns better, rising continuously in the week, at present at about 253 yuan / ton. At present, the start-up of downstream bromine flame retardant industry is gradually increasing, and the demand end is stable and rising, which is good for bromine price support; pharmaceutical and agricultural intermediates and other industries are affected by environmental protection to start flat and purchase just needed.

III. future forecast

Bromine industry analysts of business associations believe that the domestic parking enterprises have resumed production in the early stage, and the supply of bromine industry has increased to a certain extent. However, with the cooling of the weather, some seawater bromine enterprises will enter the shutdown period, the spot supply will be tightened, which will support the bromine price well. In the long run, the domestic bromine price shows an upward trend.

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