1、 Price trend

As can be seen from the above figure, the ex factory price of domestic potassium chloride was temporarily stable this week. This week, the factory quotation of potassium chloride in domestic salt lakes was 3190.00 yuan / ton, up 53.738% year-on-year compared with the same period last year. The arrival price is about 3500-3800 yuan / ton. On the whole, the domestic potassium chloride market was temporarily stable this week. On November 21, the commodity index of potassium chloride was 101.27, the same as yesterday, down 2.45% from the highest point of 103.81 in the cycle (2021-10-12), and up 73.85% from the lowest point of 58.25 on August 6, 2020.

2、 Market analysis

The quotation of mainstream domestic potassium chloride manufacturers this week is temporarily stable: the factory quotation of Qinghai Salt Lake potassium chloride at the weekend is 3190 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui kemico’s 62% potassium chloride distribution quotation is 4200 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui kemico’s 60% potassium chloride distribution quotation is 4050 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui Badou’s 62% potassium chloride distribution quotation is 4100 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week. Jinan bayat potassium chloride distribution quotation is 4900 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week. The selling price of potassium chloride actually built in Shanghai is 4600 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week. The factory quotation of 57% mainstream powder in Qinghai small factory is 2900-3000 yuan / ton, and the supply of goods is tight; The price of 62% white potassium in the port is about 4100 yuan / ton. The price of 62% Russian White potassium vehicle board in border trade is about 3900 yuan / ton, and the quotation rises.

The salt lake and zangge are under normal operation and the unit is in good operation, but the downstream demand is good and the supply of goods is relatively tight. Agricultural demand is basically over, the winter storage market is advancing slowly, and traders are not active in taking goods. From the perspective of industrial demand, the overall operating rate of the downstream market of potassium chloride is not high, and it is mainly just needed to purchase. While the international potash fertilizer has risen sharply, the domestic potash fertilizer may still rise.

3、 Future forecast

In late November, the overall trend of potassium chloride market may rise slightly. The international demand for potash fertilizer is strong, but the domestic available supply is in short supply. Potassium chloride analysts of business society believe that the short-term potassium chloride market may rise slightly under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials.