Under the influence of poor domestic textile terminal demand and weak global economy, the domestic viscose staple fiber market in 2022 will rise first and then fall. According to the data of the business community, the factory quotation of 1.2D * 38mm viscose staple fiber in domestic areas was 12180 yuan/ton on January 1, 12900 yuan/ton on December 30, and the overall price of viscose staple fiber will rise 5.91% in 2022. The lowest point in the year was 12180 yuan/ton in January at the beginning of the year, and the highest point was 15660 yuan/ton in late June. The amplitude in the year was 28.57%.
| Thiourea |
Price trend of viscose staple fiber in 2022
The price change in 2022 can be divided into three stages:
The first stage (January 1 to June 1): The price of viscose staple fiber rose rapidly at this stage, from 12180 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 15500 yuan/ton, up 3320 yuan/ton, up 27.26%. The main driving force is the substantial upward movement of the cost side, the high global commodity prices, the rising raw material costs of pulp mills and the rising pulp prices, and the high price of imported dissolved pulp. At this time, the cost logic dominates, and the cash flow of viscose staple fiber industry fluctuates with the price of raw materials in a long-term negative situation.
The second stage (from June 1 to July 6): The price of viscose staple fiber in this stage still keeps rising, but the rising trend has slowed down significantly, from 15500 yuan/ton to 15660 yuan/ton, up 160 yuan/ton. The main reason is the terminal consumption demand, the transfer of the inventory of the later spinning link to the downstream is blocked, and the market is not enthusiastic enough to continue to pursue growth. The sharp drop in the price of related competitive cotton caused a negative effect, which was transmitted to the shrinking demand for viscose staple fiber and the accumulation of cautious wait-and-see sentiment in the market.
The third stage (July 6 to December 30): The price of viscose staple fiber in this stage declined from 15660 yuan/ton to 12900 yuan/ton, down 2760 yuan/ton, or 17.62%. 7. In August, the turnover of terminal textile clothing orders in the high temperature off-season was light, and there was no obvious improvement in the traditional peak season in September. Downstream demand continued to be weak since October, while the compression of cotton viscose price difference led to the loss of some viscose staple fiber orders. In summer, under the situation of power rationing in most regions, the cotton yarn opening rate once reached a low level within the year, and the inventory of viscose staple fiber industry rose. At this time, the viscose staple fiber manufacturers repeatedly gave up prices and exchanged quantities at the downstream stocking nodes.
Cotton yarn market of downstream people
Trend Chart of Human Cotton Yarn Price in 2022
In 2022, the downstream human cotton yarn market followed the viscose staple fiber first to rise and then to fall. According to the data of the business community, the average ex factory price of human cotton yarn (30S, ring spinning, first class) on January 1 was 18266 yuan/ton, and the quotation on December 30 was 17466 yuan/ton. The overall price of human cotton yarn fell by 4.38% in 2022. The lowest point in the year was 17466 yuan/ton at the end of the year, and the highest point was 19233 yuan/ton in late June, with an annual amplitude of 9.19%.
Future market forecast
In 2022, affected by such negative factors as macro pressure and sluggish domestic and international textile demand, viscose staple fiber will fall from a high position. With the favorable policies at the end of the year, textile enterprises will resume their work in an orderly manner. The market generally believes that the consumption of viscose staple fiber and rayon yarn will improve in 2023. In the long run, the supply of viscose staple fiber is loose, and the pattern of weak downstream demand has not changed. Analysts from the business community believe that it is unlikely that the market of viscose staple fiber industry chain will rise significantly in 2023.
In the short term, the Spring Festival is approaching, the downstream signing of orders has been basically completed in the near future, the factory orders are mainly delivered, some yarn enterprises and terminal weaving factories have been closed for holidays, and the market demand for raw materials is further reduced. The analysts of the business community predict that the price of viscose staple fiber may be weak and stable, and the market will wait until the end of the year.
| http://www.thiourea.net |