Weak demand and falling price of ammonium phosphate (8.15-8.21)

1、 Price trend

 

Thiourea

According to the data of the bulk list of business society, the average market price of 55% powdered monoammonium phosphate was 3516 yuan / ton on August 15, and 3466 yuan / ton on August 21. This week, the market price of monoammonium phosphate fell by 1.42%.

 

According to the data of the bulk list of business society, the average market price of 64% diammonium phosphate was 4425 yuan / ton on August 15, and the average market price of 64% diammonium phosphate was 4425 yuan / ton on August 21. The market price of diammonium phosphate was stable this week.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

This week, the center of gravity of ammonium phosphate market continued to move downward, and the trend was weak. The market confidence was insufficient, and the operating rate of ammonium phosphate enterprises decreased. The high level of raw phosphate rock is stable, and the price of raw sulfur is stable after the price rebound last week. The market is still in a wait-and-see mood. The operating rate of the downstream compound fertilizer enterprises rebounded, and the raw material monoammonium was purchased on demand. Domestic demand for diammonium is weak and export volume is poor. At present, most manufacturers of ammonium phosphate have suspended their quotation, and the quotation of traders is chaotic. This week, the factory price of 55% powdered ammonium monohydrate in Hubei is about 3000 yuan / ton, the market price of 55% powdered ammonium monohydrate in Sichuan is 3000-3700 yuan / ton, and the market price of 73% powdered ammonium monohydrate is 6050-6550 yuan / ton. This week, the factory price of 64% of diammonium in Hubei is about 4100 yuan / ton, the market price of 64% of diammonium in Yunnan is about 4200-4700 yuan / ton, the market price of 64% of diammonium in Guizhou is about 4150 yuan / ton, and the market price of 57% of diammonium is about 3750 yuan / ton. The actual transaction is negotiated.

 

In terms of raw sulfur, the sulfur price in East China was stable this week, and the average price was 1163.33 yuan / ton on August 21. The sulfur quotation of refinery enterprises in Shandong Province is stable, and the mainstream price of solid sulfur is about 1120-1290 yuan / ton; The mainstream price of liquid sulfur is 1050-1150 yuan / ton. The quotation is for reference only, and the actual transaction price shall prevail. The downstream sulfuric acid is weak, the demand for sulfur is limited, the enthusiasm for entering the market is general, the refinery shipment is acceptable, the inventory is rational, and the attitude of the operators is mainly wait-and-see.

 

In terms of raw phosphorous ore, the domestic phosphorous ore market has been consolidated at a high level this week. At present, the domestic phosphate rock supply is still tight, and the spot circulation is small. Some large phosphate rocks continue to be mainly used for their own use, while some other mining enterprises continue to receive pre-sale orders. The details are discussed in a single way according to the regional volume and other factors. For some enterprises that need to purchase phosphate ore as raw material, the continuous high price of phosphate rock and tight supply have brought certain pressure to the enterprises. As of August 19, the reference price of phosphate rock was 1100 yuan / ton.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

The phosphate ammonium analyst of the business community believes that the recent trend of raw materials is volatile and the cost support is general. The downstream demand is low, the purchasing enthusiasm is not good, and the on-site trading volume is low. It is expected that the price of ammonium phosphate will continue to be weak in the short term.

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