I. price trend

According to the monitoring of bulk data of business agency, the domestic trichloromethane market remained low this week, and the price of trichloromethane in Shandong Province remained at about 1900 yuan / ton in the week.

II. Cause analysis

Product reason: the domestic trichloromethane production unit operates stably, the supply of goods in the field is sufficient, the market of trichloromethane is in poor condition, and the operation is kept at a low level for a long time. At present, the price of trichloromethane in Shandong is about 1900 yuan / ton; the price of Trichloromethane in Jiangsu is about 3800 yuan / ton; the price of Jiangxi Liwen is about 2850 yuan / ton. In terms of unit start-up, Jinling, Shandong Province started normal operation, Luxi Chemical industry started 60%, Jiangsu Liwen unit started normal operation, Jiangxi Liwen unit started 50%.

Industry chain: on the upstream side, affected by the poor delivery of goods from the downstream, the domestic methanol market fell sharply in a week, down 10.47% in a week, at present, about 2100 yuan / ton; the liquid chlorine market was affected by the overhaul, the supply was tight in a week, and the price continued to rise. At present, the enterprise reported an extra 700-850 yuan / ton. In the downstream, the production and domestic sales quota of R22 is tightening, and the manufacturers’ confidence in holding prices is increasing, which stimulates the enthusiasm of middlemen to store goods, and the supply of small packaging products of some enterprises is tight; the pharmaceutical and agricultural intermediate industry is affected by environmental protection, and the construction is flat, and the purchase is just needed.

Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 42nd week of 2019 (10.21-10.25), there are 10 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the chemical sector, including 2 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 2.4% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are epichlorohydrin (8.05%), sulfur (5.05%) and sulfuric acid (4.88%). There are 41 kinds of commodities decreased on a month-on-month basis, 4 kinds of commodities decreased by more than 5%, accounting for 4.8% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products decreased were formaldehyde (37%) (- 9.21%), nitric acid (- 8.62%), acetic acid (- 5.29%).

III. future forecast

According to the data analyst of methane chloride of business association, at present, the market of trichloromethane is in the traditional off-season, and the price remains low. In the near future, the upstream and downstream markets recover briefly, which has a certain positive support for the price of trichloromethane. It is expected that the market of Trichloromethane will remain stable in the short term, or will recover slightly.