Commodity index: on January 10, 2020, the polyaluminium chloride commodity index was 101.80, unchanged from yesterday, down 6.61% from the highest point of 109.01 (2019-08-28) in the cycle, and up 0.89% from the lowest point of 100.90 on December 19, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2019-04-01 till now)
Price quotation: according to the monitoring data of business agency (100ppi. Com), on January 1, 2020, the mainstream market price of polyaluminium chloride (fixed, content ≥ 28%) is about 1833.33 yuan / ton, and on January 10, the mainstream market price is 1833.33 yuan / ton, which is stable this month.
Price quotation: the main monitoring manufacturers of the business agency have stable quotation in the domestic polyaluminium chloride market since January. According to the monitoring data of the commodity by the business agency (100ppi. Com), the main quotation range of the domestic market of polyaluminium chloride is mainly concentrated in: the quotation with tax of 1800-2200 yuan / ton for polyaluminium chloride solid (industrial level, content ≥ 28%), and 380-450 yuan / ton for liquid (industrial level, content 10% – 12%).
Upstream: in the first ten days of January 2020, the main quotation of hydrochloric acid in the domestic market fluctuated and decreased, with the quotation of 253.33 yuan / ton on the first day and 243.33 yuan / ton on the 10th day, with a drop of about 3.95%.
Downstream: in winter, the construction of water treatment project is relatively small, and the downstream procurement has a great impact. At present, it has entered the coldest three or nine days of the year. The Spring Festival is not far away, and the construction ushers in the most slack season.
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Manufacturer: from December 19, 2019 to January 10, 2020, Gongyi factory, the main production area of Henan Province, received the notice of production suspension, all of them were shut down, and the manufacturer had sufficient stock. The vehicles under the fifth five year plan were shut down, and the freight cost increased. The manufacturer’s quotation was increased by 50 yuan / ton at first, and then some of its sub manufacturers were reduced due to weak demand.
Industry:
1. In late July 2019, recently, the water purification and environmental protection enterprises in Yong’an Road sub district office of Gongyi City, Henan Province received the notice of production suspension, which requires: according to the analysis of the city’s environmental pollution status and future pollution weather, the municipal office requires all deep treatment enterprises to stop production before acceptance, and can resume production after scheduling or acceptance according to the office.
2. After resumption of production, the production will be stopped again: the production will be resumed for ten days in August, and it will be stopped again on 15th. According to the manufacturer, the production stop is more affected by the National Games held in Zhengzhou on September 8th. The local environmental protection inspection is strict, and all local enterprises in Gongyi are required to stop production for environmental protection treatment and maintenance.
3. After the National Games on September 8, the local manufacturers did not receive the notice of commencement immediately, and the strict inspection of environmental protection was in progress. In late September, local manufacturers in Gongyi began to resume production one after another, and the supply of goods gradually returned to normal.
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4. On December 19, Gongyi, the main production area of Henan Province, issued an emergency notice, requiring all enterprises to stop production and all goods transportation from now until January 1, 2020 in accordance with the spirit of the 16th scheduling meeting of Gongyi City for environmental pollution control. Zhengzhou municipal leaders will lead the supervision group to continuously supervise and inspect the implementation of management and control. If it is found that the implementation is not in place, the person in charge of the enterprise and the truck driver will be detained. The enterprise will be included in the blacklist of integrity, and the enterprise will be subject to top-level punishment. This notice is very strict for manufacturers and freight requirements, and manufacturers should stop production.
5. From the beginning of January to the 10th, 2020, Gongyi water treatment related enterprises in the main production area of Henan province did not start production, but continued to stop production. It is reported that local environmental protection often inspected, and the manufacturer’s inventory is sufficient.
Aftermarket forecast: according to the analysis of the business agency, the demand for the Spring Festival holiday is light and the supply of goods is sufficient; the manufacturer is in the period of production suspension and the upstream hydrochloric acid price has little impact. From the perspective of trend, the cost support of polyaluminium chloride is insufficient, the downstream demand is weak, and it is expected that the market will be stable in the future.
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